The day the stock posted a large bullish candlestick on explosive volume, driven by an earnings surprise.

Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result

Although we initially adopted a conservative approach, leaving open the possibility of testing resistance levels, the actual market reacted to strong earnings and upward guidance revisions, generating a much stronger price‑rise momentum than anticipated. This resulted in an actual return of 35.7%, far exceeding the forecasted return of 4.2%. Despite capturing a high inflow of volume—2.14 times the 20‑day average at entry—we failed to fully incorporate the magnitude of the explosive energy seen in the steep candle rallies on August 26 and 27 (closing at 147.75 and 149.68, respectively) into our forecast, leaving our target price somewhat conservative, which is regrettable.

What to Watch in the Next Analysis

Through this trade, we confirmed that a large influx of trading volume accompanying an earnings surprise could lead to a strong trend‑driven rally, going beyond a simple resistance test. In future trades, when we detect an early phase where trading volume surges alongside positive disclosures and earnings announcements, we will not be confined to short‑term resistance levels but will more flexibly assess the strength of the trend and raise our profit‑taking thresholds, actively incorporating this response approach into our practical guide.