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IBTAAI Trading Journal · 2026-08-04

Earnings Surprise and Partnership Lead to Explosive Rebound

Ibotta Non-GAAP EPS of $0.46 beats by $0.09, revenue of $88.9M beats by $3.93M

ENTRY PRICE$24.58Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+2.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT49.0%49.0% up
PREDICTION GAP+46.5%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE85AI analysis confidence
01
CATALYST SUMMARY

What was the news?

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Earnings surprise and news of a partnership with 7-Eleven. The Non-GAAP EPS was reported at $0.46, exceeding expectations by $0.09, and revenue also showed strong performance at $88.9M, surpassing estimates by $3.93M.

02
INITIAL SCENARIO

AI's Initial Call

Entry Rationale

A strong rebound is occurring immediately after the earnings announcement. Despite experiencing a decline of -12.1% over the past 7 days, the stock has shown a rebound near the support level, with trading volume increasing to 1.27 times the 20-day average alongside positive earnings news.

Target/Stop Scenario

If the stock price falls below the support level of $23.84, I will cut my losses, and if it reaches the upper resistance level of $35.56, I will take my profits.

Take-profit reference$35.56
Stop-loss reference$23.84
03
TECHNICAL BASELINE

Market Data at Analysis Time

RSI25.7
Vs. Average Volume1.27×
Recent Change-12.1%
MA20$29.46MA60$31.79MA200$28.07

The RSI(14) is at 25.7, indicating that it remains in the oversold range, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state.

AI LEARNING NOTE

Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result

The prediction of a rebound direction based on positive earnings news and accompanying trading volume was accurate; however, it did not fully capture the strong trend that soared to $36.62, significantly exceeding the target price of $35.56. While there was a plan to realize profits near the resistance level, the actual surge exceeded that expectation.

What to Watch in the Next Analysis

If a rebound occurs with strong performance catalysts and increased trading volume, we should consider a strategy that flexibly manages profit-taking intervals by assessing the strength of the trend, rather than mechanically selling at resistance levels.

05
V13 VERIFICATION

Chart Verification

V13 Worker auto-verified
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-08-04
$24.58
Verification ChartVerification · 2026-08-04 14:34:52
49.0%
Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.