Stronger-than-expected rally amid solid earnings and overheating signals

UPS beats quarterly expectations, raises full-year guidance again

ENTRY PRICE$100.32Entry reference price

AI PREDICTION+1.8%Predicted upside

VERIFIED RESULT13.9%13.9% up

PREDICTION GAP+12.1%pGap vs. actual result

CONFIDENCE82AI analysis confidence

TECHNICAL BASELINE

Market Data at Analysis Time

RSI77.5

Vs. Average Volume1.46×

Recent Change+2.5%

MA20$96.06MA60$99.67MA200$102.4

{'support': 'RSI: 77.5', 'resistance': 'Trend: MA20 $96.06 · MA60 $99.67 · MA200 $102.40', 'volume': 'Volume: 1.46x 20D Avg', 'recent_change': '7D Change: +2.5%'}

AI LEARNING NOTE

Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result

The expected return was conservatively set at 1.8%, but the actual result recorded a 13.9% surge, receiving an OVERHIT rating. While it was confirmed that strong catalysts such as robust Q3 earnings and an upward revision of the annual guidance were at play, we missed the fact that the upside potential was predicted too conservatively based solely on the overbought pressure of an RSI of 77.5 and non-aligned moving averages.

What to Watch in the Next Analysis

When accompanied by strong fundamental improvement catalysts such as an earnings surprise, the strength of the trend should be evaluated more flexibly even if the technical overheating indicator (RSI) is high. In the next trade, we will apply a strategy of setting a wider profit-taking target by comprehensively considering the ripple effect of the positive news and the increasing trading volume trend (1.46 times the 20-day average).

V13 VERIFICATION

Chart Verification

V13 Worker auto-verified

Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-11-05

$100.32

Verification ChartVerification · 2026-11-05 14:27:44

13.9%

Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.