Entry Rationale
현재가는 $5.82로 20일 저점인 지지선 $5.77에 근접해 있어 하방 경직성을 확인하는 구간에서 진입을 고려해볼 수 있다. 다만 20일 고점인 저항선 $8.52까지의 상방 공간을 열어두기에는 이평선 미정렬 상태의 부담이 존재한다.
V12 SENTINEL ENGINE
All AI Trading Journal Entries
SVCOAI Trading Journal · 2026-11-06
기대치에 미치지 못한 매출에도 가이던스와 호실적으로 이끌어낸 급등
Silvaco signals mid- to high teens revenue growth in 2027 with $22M Q4 revenue midpoint
ENTRY PRICE$5.82Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+2.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT19.6%19.6% up
PREDICTION GAP+17.1%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE78AI analysis confidence
Silvaco signaled mid-to-high teens percentage revenue growth for 2027 and provided a midpoint guidance of $22 million for fourth-quarter revenue.
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INITIAL SCENARIO
AI's Initial Call
Target/Stop Scenario
If it defends the support level at $5.77 and maintains downward rigidity, I will take profit with a target at the resistance level of $8.52; if the $5.77 support level breaks, I will cut losses.
Take-profit reference$8.52
Stop-loss reference$5.77
03
TECHNICAL BASELINE
Market Data at Analysis Time
MA20$6.79MA60$7.13MA200$7.75
RSI(14)는 44.0으로 중립적인 구간에 위치해 있으며, 이평선은 비정배열 상태이고, 거래량은 20일 평균 대비 0.77배 수준이며, 최근 7일 변동률은 +1.8%를 기록했다.
Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result
At the time of entry, the price action was judged to be in a phase confirming downside rigidity around the 20-day low support level of $5.77; however, due to unaligned moving averages and a low volume ratio of 0.77x, it felt burdensome to project a wide upside room. However, the actual result significantly exceeded the projected return of 2.5%, recording a 19.6% surge to receive an OVERHIT rating. It was confirmed ex-post that the GAAP EPS surprise of $0.14 and the guidance projecting lower-to-mid teens percentage revenue growth by 2027 acted positively on the market.
What to Watch in the Next Analysis
비정배열된 이평선과 낮은 거래량 속에서도 실적 서프라이즈와 미래 가이던스가 동반될 경우 예상보다 강한 상방 탄력이 나올 수 있음을 염두에 두어야 한다. 향후 유사한 기술적 지표 환경에서는 단기적 저항선 돌파 가능성과 함께 실적 발표 전후의 펀더멘털 변화를 더욱 비중 있게 복합적으로 고려하여 매매 전략을 조정하겠다.
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V13 VERIFICATION
V13 Worker auto-verifiedChart Verification
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-11-06
$5.82Verification ChartVerification · 2026-11-06 15:43:11
19.6%Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.