SoftBank gets $8.2 billion boost from Intel as OpenAI takes a backseat
SoftBank reported a first-quarter net profit for the fiscal year that exceeded market expectations.
I considered entering based on the positive performance news of SoftBank. As of the entry date, August 21, 2026, the candlestick data shows an opening price of 92.77, a high of 92.77, a low of 89.75, and a closing price of 90.19, with a recent 7-day volatility of +10.2%.
If the stock price rises and reaches the profit-taking target of $116.77, I will take full profits. If it falls and breaches the stop-loss level of $81.79, I will cut losses. These target and stop-loss prices are derived from REPORTING calculations.
The RSI(14) is at 53.6, indicating a neutral position, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. The trading volume is at 0.73 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility is +10.2%.
Looking at the historical data, a price reaction pattern of +7.0% on August 11, 2026, and +3.6% on August 12, 2026, is observed.
At the time of the forecast, based on SoftBank's strong performance news and a +10.2% fluctuation rate over the past 7 days, a target profit price of $116.77 and a stop-loss price of $81.79 were set in anticipation of an increase. However, the actual result recorded a -10.2% return, resulting in a FAILED assessment. Despite an entry RSI(14) of 53.6, a trading volume of 0.73 times the 20-day average, and an unaligned moving average state, the inability to adequately guard against the dilution risk implied by critical disclosures such as the new share offering (424B5) and registration statement (S-3ASR), as well as the declining trend of thematic news, is analyzed as the reason for not being able to defend against this decline.
In this trading review, rather than focusing solely on positive news or the short-term price increase (+10.2%), I will adjust the next trades to establish a more conservative stop-loss response criterion by more rigorously reflecting the share dilution risk indicated by the CRITICAL rating and the technical limitations such as the misalignment of moving averages.