Entry Rationale
In conclusion, the current price is positioned at the midpoint between the support and resistance levels, and due to a lack of technical alignment, I will consider a cautious entry.
V12 SENTINEL ENGINE
All AI Trading Journal Entries
RUNAI Trading Journal · 2026-08-26
Despite presenting growth targets, the attempt for a rebound in solar power left disappointment as support levels broke down.
Sunrun expects to exit 2026 with over 10% growth while targeting over 10 GWh by end of 2028
ENTRY PRICE$10.49Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+-2.0%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT-12.9%12.9% down
PREDICTION GAP-10.9%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE85AI analysis confidence
Sunrun aims to finish 2026 with a growth rate of over 10% and to achieve over 10 GWh by the end of 2028.
02
INITIAL SCENARIO
AI's Initial Call
Target/Stop Scenario
In conclusion, I aim to take profits targeting a resistance level of $13.35, but I will respond with a stop-loss if the support level of $9.31 is breached.
Take-profit reference$13.35
Stop-loss reference$9.31
03
TECHNICAL BASELINE
Market Data at Analysis Time
MA20$11.15MA60$12.92MA200$15.68
The technical indicators at the entry point show that the RSI (14) is at 32.4, approaching an oversold condition, the moving averages are in a non-aligned state, the trading volume is at 1.21 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility has recorded +11.0%.
04
HISTORICAL EVIDENCE
Similar Past Cases
Past similar success cases with the keyword 'growth' include IBTA (2026-08-04, return 49.0%, news of exceeding EPS and revenue), BLZE (2026-08-04, return 47.9%, news of B2 revenue growth outlook and upward guidance), and TEAM (from 2026-08-04 to 2026-08-14, return 47.2%, news of subscription ARR growth outlook). All show similarities based on performance and upward guidance momentum centered around the growth keyword.
Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result
To conclude, contrary to the expectations at the time of the forecast, the actual outcome ended with a disappointing -12.9%, breaching the stop-loss level. At the time of entry, a growth target of over 10% and specific targets up to 2028 were presented. Although a rebound was anticipated based on the oversold condition of RSI(14) at 32.4 and an increase in trading volume (+11.0% volatility), the weakness stemming from the misalignment of moving averages and the lack of technical alignment near the support level ($9.31) ultimately contributed to the inability to withstand downward pressure.
What to Watch in the Next Analysis
In conclusion, in future trading, if technical indicators are not properly aligned in a non-decorrelated state, I will adopt a conservative approach of delaying entry points or reducing positions, regardless of any accompanying positive growth news.
05
V13 VERIFICATION
V13 Worker auto-verifiedChart Verification
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-08-26
$10.49Verification ChartVerification · 2026-08-26 14:08:06
-12.9%Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.