Entry Rationale
The current price is near the 20-day low support level ($13.25), and since there is considerable upside potential to the 20-day high resistance level ($19.45), we will consider a purchase.
V12 SENTINEL ENGINE
All AI Trading Journal Entries
ALMAI Trading Journal · 2026-10-08
Expectations of a rebound from the oversold zone amid tungsten favorable factors ultimately led to a stop-loss line.
Almonty rises after signing tungsten offtake deal with Sandvik
ENTRY PRICE$13.47Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+3.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT-10.2%10.2% down
PREDICTION GAP-13.7%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE75AI analysis confidence
The stock showed an upward trend on the news that Almonty had signed a tungsten offtake agreement with Sandvik.
02
INITIAL SCENARIO
AI's Initial Call
Target/Stop Scenario
If the support line ($13.25) breaks, I will cut losses; if the upside potential to the resistance line of $19.45 remains valid, I will aim for profit-taking.
Take-profit reference$19.45
Stop-loss reference$13.25
03
TECHNICAL BASELINE
Market Data at Analysis Time
MA20$17.25MA60$15.42MA200$15.3
RSI (14) is at 25.1, placing it in the oversold zone; moving averages are in a bullish alignment (right-ordered), trading volume is 0.81x the 20-day average, and the 7-day volatility (rate of change) recorded -23.3%.
04
HISTORICAL EVIDENCE
Similar Past Cases
VEEE, LRCX, and AEMD, which were suggested as past similar successful cases, have no basis for direct similarity and should therefore be reviewed solely for reference regarding overall top-tier performance.
Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result
At entry, the RSI(14) of 25.1 indicated oversold conditions and was near the support line at $13.25, leading to an expectation of a rebound. However, the actual result was a -10.2% return, resulting in a FAILED rating. The recent 7-day change of -23.3% reflects a deep downtrend, and the trading volume, at 0.81 times the 20-day average, was somewhat weak, which later proved insufficient to fully withstand downward pressure.
What to Watch in the Next Analysis
Through this review, we will take as a lesson that entering a downward trend (-23.3%) without accompanying volume, even in an oversold zone, carries a high risk of stop-loss. In future trades, we will adjust our entry criteria to be more conservative by strictly verifying whether volume accompanies the trade, rather than relying solely on the price position near a support line.
05
V13 VERIFICATION
V13 Worker auto-verifiedChart Verification
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-10-08
$13.47Verification ChartVerification · 2026-10-08 03:06:12
-10.2%Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.