Microsoft's earnings-fueled rally lifts shares above 200-day moving average
The rally driven by Microsoft's strong performance has lifted the stock price above the 200-day moving average.
We consider a strategy of gradual buying while confirming whether it can settle above the 200-day moving average. The current price is above the support level of 433.83 and the resistance level of 460.00, and it has shown a fluctuation rate of +13.4% over the past 7 days, accompanied by a trading volume 3.41 times that of the 20-day average.
The RSI has entered a short-term overbought zone at 73.6, so I will approach with a staggered buying strategy while confirming whether it can maintain above the 200-day moving average. I will take profits if it reaches around $475.0 and will cut losses if the support level at $430.0 is breached.
RSI(14) 73.6, moving averages are misaligned, trading volume is 3.41 times the 20-day average, recent 7-day volatility +13.4%
There is a historical record of +28.6% on July 29, 2026, but this is merely an individual past response pattern of this stock and does not provide a direct buying motivation or reason.
Initially, with an RSI of 73.6, we entered a short-term overheating zone and aimed to confirm whether the stock could settle above the 200-day moving average while approaching through a staggered buying strategy. However, in reality, the actual profit-taking target exceeded our expectations, recording a 10.7% actual return above the anticipated target of $475.0, resulting in an overhit designation. The strong buying momentum, supported by a trading volume 3.41 times the 20-day average and a +13.4% volatility over the past 7 days, was effective in ensuring that the stock price settled above the 200-day moving average.
In this trading session, despite the short-term overheating indicator (RSI 73.6), the approach of confirming the trend accompanied by trading volume and the establishment of the 200-day moving average was valid. Moving forward, based on the increasing trend of news within the theme, the S-Class conversion rate, and clear support and resistance levels, we will consistently apply partial buying in the overheating range and risk management.