Strategy estimates $20.9B gain on digital assets and tax benefit of $4.12B in Q3
Strategy announced that it expects third-quarter digital asset valuation gains of $20.9 billion and tax benefits of $4.12 billion.
The current price of $160.01 is positioned between the 20-day resistance level of $171.19 and the support level of $123.33. Therefore, entry should be considered while monitoring whether it breaks through the $171.19 resistance and verifying the support strength at $123.33.
Based on the current price of $160.01, if the $171.19 resistance level is broken, I will take profit at $171.19, and if the $123.33 support level collapses, I will stop loss at $123.33.
RSI(14) is at 65.1, approaching the overbought territory, the moving averages are in a non-aligned state, trading volume is 1.16 times the 20-day average, and the 7-day volatility is -1.4%.
In the past, it showed price response patterns of +7.1% on 2026-10-14, -0.3% on 2026-10-12, -6.2% on 2026-10-06, +0.1% on 2026-10-05, and +6.4% on 2026-09-29.
We expected an upward trend driven by favorable factors such as third-quarter digital asset valuation gains and projected tax benefits, but the actual result was a loss of -12.6%, leading to a FAILED rating. At the time of entry, $160.01 was positioned between the resistance line of $171.19 and the support line of $123.33 with the MA-Align unconfigured. It is regrettable that we failed to accurately pierce the limits of the upside breakout implied by the RSI of 65.1 and the non-aligned moving averages, and failed to adequately cope with accompanying downside news and volatility (-1.4%), such as Bitcoin falling below $80,000 and the temporary suspension of Bitcoin purchases.
For future trades, rather than relying solely on positive news, we will adopt a more conservative entry timing when the MA-Align is unaligned and resistance pressure is identified near resistance levels. In particular, we will thoroughly keep the risk of support line breaches in mind beforehand and strictly execute stop-loss management.