Trading that relied on favorable technical setups but could not withstand volatility.

Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result

At the time of the forecast, an entry was considered based on an RSI(14) of 63.2 and the expectation of a breakout mentioned in the news; however, the actual result recorded a loss of -16.9%, resulting in a FAILED assessment. During the recent consolidation phase with a 7-day volatility of -1.2%, it appears that risk management was inadequate, as the misalignment of moving averages and a trading volume that was 0.92 times lower than the 20-day average were not sufficient support factors. In particular, the failure to deeply reflect downward pressure factors, such as the news regarding the capital increase and share issuance received on August 21, and the focus solely on technical setups and positive news were the reasons for not being able to defend against the actual decline.

What to Watch in the Next Analysis

Through the failure of this trade, we have confirmed the limitations of relying solely on the figures indicated by technical indicators or one-off positive news. In the future, when the trend of news count related to the theme is in a falling state or when surrounding related news is acting in a complex manner, we will supplement our trading principles by calculating the downside risk more conservatively up to the designated stop-loss price ($76.01) and adjusting the entry weight accordingly.