Mammoth Energy expects 2026 revenue growth greater than 90% with adjusted EBITDA margins in excess of 10%
Mammoth Energy (ticker: TBA) announced guidance for 2026, projecting over 90% revenue growth and an adjusted EBITDA margin exceeding 10%.
The current price has already surpassed the 20-day high of $2.99, indicating a potential for short-term overheating. Therefore, rather than chasing after the stock, it would be prudent to consider a cautious approach by confirming support after the breakout and being mindful of volatility.
In the context of short-term overheating, we will consider taking profits around the resistance level of $2.99. If the downside risk expands and we break below the support level of $2.47, we will respond with a stop-loss.
The technical indicators at the entry point show an RSI(14) of 57.4, a non-aligned moving average, a trading volume that is 1.40 times the 20-day average, and a recent 7-day volatility of +13.1%.
Past successful cases such as VEEE (return 451.7%), LRCX (return 346.8%), and AMD (return 333.8%) do not have direct similarities, making it difficult to directly compare them with the current TUSK trade; however, they are noted for reference regarding overall top performance.
At the time of entry, the stock started with a large revenue growth guidance for 2026 and broke above the 20-day high of $2.99, carrying the potential for short-term overheating. Despite expectations for upward momentum indicated by an RSI(14) of 57.4 and a trading volume 1.40 times the 20-day average, the actual result recorded a loss rate of -10.9%, resulting in a FAILED assessment. The lack of chasing buy tendencies during the short-term overheating period and insufficient volatility management were disappointing factors.
Based on this failure, I will approach future trades with a more conservative view on chasing entries after a breakout above resistance levels. In particular, when short-term overheating signals and trading volume trends are detected, I will incorporate actionable principles in the next trades, such as waiting for pullbacks near support levels or adhering more strictly to stop-loss lines.