Xometry expects 2026 revenue growth of 33% to 34% while forecasting $60M to $62M in adjusted EBITDA
Xometry expects its revenue to grow by 33% to 34% in 2026, with adjusted EBITDA reaching between $60 million and $62 million.
The current stock price is positioned within an upward range between the resistance level of 106.08 and the support level of 80.64, maintaining a bullish trend, which suggests considering a buying entry utilizing a solid support base.
In the context of a bullish trend, as long as the support level of 80.64 holds, I will hold until the upper resistance level of 106.08, aiming for a profit. If the support level of 80.64 is breached, I will respond with an immediate stop-loss.
The RSI(14) is at 38.0, approaching an oversold condition, while the moving averages are maintaining a positive alignment. The trading volume is 1.04 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility is recorded at +0.6%.
At the time of entry, I considered buying based on the positive outlook for revenue and EBITDA growth in 2026, as well as the fact that the stock price was positioned in an upward range between the support level (80.64) and the resistance level (106.08), maintaining a bullish trend. The RSI (14) was at 38.0, close to the oversold territory, and the moving averages were in a bullish alignment. However, the actual result recorded a loss of -10.5%, reaching the stop-loss level and resulting in a FAILED designation. While I believed that the positive factors and technical indicators would support a short-term rebound, I overlooked that they were insufficient to defend against the downward pressure in the actual market.
Although there were technical grounds such as a bullish arrangement and proximity to support levels, there were signs of macro momentum slowing down, such as a decrease in the number of theme news articles (70 cases in the last 7 days vs. 155 cases in the previous 7 days), which warranted a more conservative filtering for entry. In the next trading session, I will not simply rely on the maintenance of support levels and positive news content, but will closely examine the overall supply and demand trends and volatility of the themes (recent 7-day volatility +0.6%) to apply stricter risk management criteria.