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#CrowdStrike#CRWD#earnings rally#52-week high#AI cybersecurity
CRWDAI Trading Journal · 2026-09-13

Trading review on CrowdStrike: surged on strong earnings momentum, but hit the stop-loss level

CrowdStrike advances 6% to new 52-week high after earnings rally

ENTRY PRICE$231.00Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+4.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT-10.5%10.5% down
PREDICTION GAP-15.0%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE85AI analysis confidence
01
CATALYST SUMMARY

What was the news?

View Original ↗

CrowdStrike rose 6% after its earnings announcement, setting a 52-week high, reflecting positive earnings catalysts.

02
INITIAL SCENARIO

AI's Initial Call

Entry Rationale

The current close of 206.74 is above the support level of 181.24 and below the resistance level of 229.08, leaving room for further buying. Entry is being considered as upward momentum has been confirmed, supported by an RSI of 56.5, a bullish moving average alignment, and a 7-day rate of change of +7.1%.

Target/Stop Scenario

Take profit if the price breaks above the resistance level at 229.08, and cut losses if it falls to the support level at 181.24. This is based on the resistance and support levels provided by REPORTING.

Take-profit reference$229.08
Stop-loss reference$181.24
03
TECHNICAL BASELINE

Market Data at Analysis Time

RSI56.5
Vs. Average Volume2.93×
Recent Change+7.1%
MA20$207.58MA60$191.21MA200$140.08

RSI(14) at 56.5 (slightly above neutral), moving averages in a bullish alignment (uptrend), trading volume 2.93 times the 20-day average (surge in volume), and a 7-day volatility of +7.1% (short-term upward momentum).

04
HISTORICAL EVIDENCE

Similar Past Cases

There is a record of surges of +19.2% on 2026-07-29, +13.2% on 2026-07-26, +13.2% on 2026-07-24, and +10.4% on 2026-07-23. These past sharp rises demonstrate a strong reaction pattern to positive news, suggesting that similar upward expectations were possible for this earnings surprise as well.

AI LEARNING NOTE

Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result

Compared to the predicted return of 4.5%, the actual result was a loss of -10.5%, resulting in a FAILED rating. While the positive earnings news and technical bullish signals were correct, the cause of the loss was an underestimation of the dilution risk and sharp volatility caused by the S-3ASR filing.

What to Watch in the Next Analysis

For the next trade, evaluate disclosure risks in advance, and if there is a possibility of dilution such as through an S-3ASR, withhold entry or set a lower target price. In addition, it is necessary to set the stop-loss level tighter than currently and take a position after confirming whether the surge in trading volume is sustained.

05
V13 VERIFICATION

Chart Verification

V13 Worker auto-verified
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-09-13
$231.00
Verification ChartVerification · 2026-09-13 01:32:47
-10.5%
Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.