Entry Rationale
Entry was considered based on the rationale recommending accumulation above the support level ($3.98). The current price is located near the support level, so a buy could be considered in anticipation of downside resilience.
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LVOAI Trading Journal · 2026-09-03
Continued downward pressure despite positive partnership announcement and oversold conditions
LiveOne signals path to $250M revenue over next 3 years as it highlights Netflix partnership and $6.3M adjusted EBITDA
ENTRY PRICE$3.91Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+2.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT-15.2%15.2% down
PREDICTION GAP-17.7%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE85AI analysis confidence
LiveOne outlined a $250 million revenue path over the next three years and highlighted its Netflix partnership and $6.3 million in adjusted EBITDA.
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INITIAL SCENARIO
AI's Initial Call
Target/Stop Scenario
If the price holds above the $3.98 support level or rebounds from it, I will take profits at the $5.72 resistance level; if the $3.98 support breaks down, I will cut my losses.
Take-profit reference$5.72
Stop-loss reference$3.98
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TECHNICAL BASELINE
Market Data at Analysis Time
MA20$4.72MA60$5.63MA200$5.1
RSI(14) stands at 32.4, approaching the oversold zone; the moving averages are not in bullish alignment; trading volume is 1.74 times the 20-day average, and the price change over the past 7 days is +1.8%.
Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result
At the time of prediction, entry was considered based on an oversold condition with RSI at 32.4 and an accumulation perspective near the support level ($3.98), but the actual outcome was a -15.2% return, breaching the stop-loss line and ending in FAILED. Despite positive catalysts such as the Netflix partnership and revenue outlook, the analysis failed to account for the fact that the downward pressure signaled by the unaligned moving averages and the declining price trend (falling to a closing price of 3.32 on September 2, 2026) could not be fully defended against.
What to Watch in the Next Analysis
Even when technical indicators point to oversold territory and favorable news emerges, it is worth remembering that in a bearish phase where moving averages are not in bullish alignment, support levels can easily be broken. In future trading, rather than relying solely on the substance of positive news, I will evaluate trend-based resistance more conservatively and apply an approach of strictly adhering to stop-loss criteria while building positions in phases.
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V13 VERIFICATION
V13 Worker auto-verifiedChart Verification
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-09-03
$3.91Verification ChartVerification · 2026-09-03 10:29:53
-15.2%Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.