Entry Rationale
Considered entry upon confirming news of a rebound following steep selling pressure and short-term volatility. This coincided with a 7-day volatility rate of -35.9% and trading volume reaching 2.95 times the 20-day moving average.
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FICOAI Trading Journal · 2026-10-13
Rebound following sharp selling pressure, an oversold zone regaining strength faster than expected
Fair Isaac rebounds 12% after steep selloff
ENTRY PRICE$661.75Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+4.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT11.8%11.8% up
PREDICTION GAP+7.3%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE92AI analysis confidence
Fair Isaac (FICO) has rebounded 12% following a sharp decline.
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INITIAL SCENARIO
AI's Initial Call
Target/Stop Scenario
When the currently secured take-profit target of $1150.84 is reached, we will take partial profits, and if the stop-loss price of $586.05 is breached, we will execute a stop-loss for risk management. (These target and stop-loss prices are calculated by REPORTING.)
Take-profit reference$1150.84
Stop-loss reference$586.05
03
TECHNICAL BASELINE
Market Data at Analysis Time
MA20$919.87MA60$1083.44MA200$1230.31
At the time of entry, the technical indicators are an RSI (14) of 11.1, non-sequential moving averages, trading volume at 2.95 times the 20-day average, and a -35.9% volatility rate over the past 7 days. An RSI of 11.1 indicates an extreme oversold zone.
04
HISTORICAL EVIDENCE
Similar Past Cases
Looking at this stock's prior history, it showed price reactions of +11.8% on 2026-10-01, +19.4% on 2026-09-30, +14.5% on 2026-09-29, -17.3% on 2026-09-28, and +7.4% on 2026-09-04. In addition, past similar successful cases include the 2026-10-13 case overlapping with the keyword 'FICO' (return: 11.8%, news: Fair Isaac rebounds 12% after steep selloff), while VEEE and LRCX are top-performing reference cases worth noting, though lacking direct similarity grounds.
Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result
Surpassing the projected return of 4.5%, the actual return reached 11.8%, resulting in an OVERHIT rating. Based on extreme oversold indicators at the time of entry, such as an RSI (14) of 11.1, and trading volume reaching 2.95 times the 20-day average, a rapid rebound was expected; however, the actual stock price rose with stronger momentum than the initial forecast. It was confirmed that a steeper-than-expected recovery occurred due to the alignment of news flows surrounding the rebound after the sharp decline with past similar volatility patterns.
What to Watch in the Next Analysis
Through this trade, we confirmed via data that the rebound momentum that appears when an excessive decline coincides with an extreme oversold zone (RSI 11.1) can be greater than expected. In future trades, when indicators reach such extremes, we will put into practice strategies such as widening the range for scaled-out profit-taking or flexibly raising the target price when accompanied by strong trading volume.
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V13 VERIFICATION
V13 Worker auto-verifiedChart Verification
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-10-13
$661.75Verification ChartVerification · 2026-10-13 00:25:42
11.8%Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.