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FAILED
#실적 상회#가이던스 상향#주가 급등
SNPSAI Trading Journal · 2026-09-02

An Overbought Zone Fueled by Positive Earnings Meets a Sobering Correction

Synopsys rises 13%, boosted by earnings

ENTRY PRICE$464.89Entry reference price
AI PREDICTION+2.5%Predicted upside
VERIFIED RESULT-10.8%10.8% down
PREDICTION GAP-13.3%pGap vs. actual result
CONFIDENCE92AI analysis confidence
01
CATALYST SUMMARY

What was the news?

View Original ↗

This is news that Synopsys (SNPS) rose 13% on the back of strong earnings.

02
INITIAL SCENARIO

AI's Initial Call

Entry Rationale

Based on the strong earnings news that drove Synopsys (SNPS) up 13%, entry was reviewed with the considerations in mind that the current price is in an overbought state, trading well above the resistance level of $425.78, and that in the event of a short-term correction, there is a risk of a decline to the support level of $370.20.

Target/Stop Scenario

The current price is trading significantly above the resistance level of $425.78, indicating an overbought condition. Considering the risk of a decline to the $370.20 support level in the event of a short-term correction, I will take profits at $425.78 and set a stop-loss at $370.2.

Take-profit reference$425.78
Stop-loss reference$370.20
03
TECHNICAL BASELINE

Market Data at Analysis Time

RSI52.9
Vs. Average Volume1.73×
Recent Change-0.8%
MA20$403.8MA60$426.38MA200$446.06

Technical indicators at the entry point are as follows: RSI(14) of 52.9, moving averages in non-alignment, trading volume at 1.73 times the 20-day average, and a 7-day change of -0.8%. The RSI is at a neutral level, and while trading volume was recorded above the average, the moving averages remain in a non-aligned state.

AI LEARNING NOTE

Reviewing Prediction vs. Actual Result

The trade was entered based on strong earnings news and a 13% upward trend, targeting a 2.5% return; however, the actual outcome was a -10.8% loss, resulting in a FAILED verdict. At the time of entry, the RSI(14) of 52.9 and trading volume surging to 1.73x the 20-day average indicated short-term buying momentum, but the key risk was that the current price was significantly above the $425.78 resistance level in an overbought condition. Ultimately, the concern that the price could fall to the $370.20 support level during a short-term correction appears to have materialized as actual downward pressure, driving the price to the stop-loss level.

What to Watch in the Next Analysis

Through this trade, we learned that even during a surge phase accompanied by positive news and increased trading volume, chasing purchases should be avoided and a conservative approach taken when the stock is in an overbought state significantly above its resistance line. In future trades, entry timing and stop-loss ranges will be set by more strictly factoring in the deviation from the resistance line and overbought risk.

05
V13 VERIFICATION

Chart Verification

V13 Worker auto-verified
Initial ChartAt Analysis · 2026-09-02
$464.89
Verification ChartVerification · 2026-09-02 09:31:52
-10.8%
Investment Reference NoticeThis report is a record of past AI analysis being verified — it does not solicit buying or selling any specific stock. All investment decisions and responsibility rest with the user.