Entry Rationale
The current price of $123.88 is close to the 20-day high of $124.71, indicating limited upside potential. Therefore, it is important to carefully assess whether to enter based on the potential breakout of the resistance level.
Cisco projects FY 2027 revenue of $72.2B-$73.4B with AI infrastructure revenue targeted at $7.5B
Cisco has set a revenue target of $72.2 billion to $73.4 billion for the fiscal year 2027 and has established an AI infrastructure revenue target of $7.5 billion, which is a positive development that clarifies the long-term growth momentum in the artificial intelligence sector.
The current price of $123.88 is close to the 20-day high of $124.71, indicating limited upside potential. Therefore, it is important to carefully assess whether to enter based on the potential breakout of the resistance level.
Given the limited upside potential at the current price, if there is a pullback to the support level followed by a rebound, I will aim for a profit target of $124.71. Conversely, if the support level at $107.53 is breached, I will cut my losses.
The RSI(14) is at 69.9, approaching an overbought condition, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. The trading volume is somewhat low at 0.81 times the 20-day average, but the recent 7-day volatility shows an upward trend of +3.8%.
We confirmed a clear growth driver with the revenue target for AI infrastructure in the fiscal year 2027 and considered entry; however, the RSI is at 69.9, nearing overbought territory, and with the moving averages in a non-aligned state, the upside potential is limited. We were unable to sufficiently manage the risks, leading to a stop-loss being reached and a -10.3% FAILED result.
Rather than being swayed by the optimism from positive news, we will interpret the technical indicators at the entry point, which indicate an overheated condition and a non-aligned state, more conservatively. We will strictly apply our criteria to refrain from chasing purchases and wait for a safe entry point near the support level.