SUCCESS
2026-08-13 20:04:56
Predicted 8.2% → Actual 11.6%
Agilysys (AGYS) has provided positive news by raising its Q1 guidance, setting a target for fiscal year 2027 revenue of $368 million to $373 million, along with a minimum subscription growth rate of 32%.
Considering that the current price is stably maintained above the support level (100), we expect to reach the profit target of $118.0 after breaking through the resistance level (110) and gaining short-term upward momentum. Conversely, if it falls below the support level, we will accept the loss and exit at the stop-loss price of $95.0.
At this point, if one had looked at the chart, they would have considered entering, as the current price ($103.24) is stabilizing above the support level (100), indicating potential for further upward movement. The possibility of a short-term surge upon breaking the resistance level (110) and the positive news of an upward revision in Q1 guidance along with the presentation of subscription growth rate targets would have also been taken into account.
Based on the clear positive factors of raising Q1 guidance and presenting subscription growth rate targets, we anticipated a trend of finding stability above the support level before breaking through the resistance level. As a result, it concluded successfully with an actual return of 11.6%, exceeding the predicted return of 8.2%. The judgment to time the entry based on the price position near the support and resistance levels, along with the connection to past similar cases related to the subscription model, aligned well with the actual stock price movement.
Through this transaction, we have once again confirmed that the upward revision of the company's performance guidance and the specific subscription growth targets have acted as positive momentum for the stock price rebound. In future transactions, we will consistently apply an approach that captures points where technical support and resistance lines align with fundamental news.
Among past similar success cases, the AGYS case, which recorded a 11.6% return on 2026-08-13, shares the keyword 'subscription model' and has a direct similarity to the current situation. Additionally, while there is no direct similarity basis for the VEEE (451.7%) and LRCX (346.8%) cases, they are noted for reference as top performers in the region.