FAILED
2026-08-28 14:10:45
Predicted -2.5% → Actual -17.0%
C3is announced GAAP EPS of $79.52 and revenue of $24.04 million.
Buy at the current price of $2.12. Take profit if the price reaches the resistance level of $5.60, and cut loss if it falls below the support level of $0.08.
The current price of $2.12 lies halfway between the $0.08 support level and the $5.60 resistance level, with very low trading volume and an RSI of 45, indicating neutrality. Considering this situation, along with favorable EPS developments, irregular arrangement, and continuous dilution disclosures, we evaluated a buy.
RSI(14)=45.0 (neutral), moving averages are misaligned (trend unclear), volume is 0.02× the 20‑day average (extremely low), recent 7‑day change +24.2% (upward momentum).
The forecast projected a -2.5% loss, but the actual loss was -17.0%, a significant deviation. While it was correct to anticipate upside potential based on the EPS release and short-term upward momentum, the loss widened due to insufficient reflection of the sharp decline in trading volume, consecutive dilution disclosures, and irregular arrangement trends.
In subsequent trades, if low trading volume accompanies a CRITICAL-rated disclosure, we will reduce position size or hold off on entry, and only enter when moving‑average alignment and a clear trend signal are confirmed. Additionally, we will set stop‑loss levels at a more realistic level and avoid excessive expectations based solely on news and favorable financial developments.