[CSCO]

Cisco achieved double-digit Y/Y growth in its networking, collaboration, and security segments in FQ4 '26, driving revenue growth in the EMEA and Americas regions. Were I to enter at the predicted time, I would consider taking profit if price reaches $124.71, and cutting loss if it declines to $107.53. Entry considered near the opening price of $110.32 on 2026-09-02, following the positive FQ4 '26 growth catalyst. Price had risen from $109.74 on 2026-09-01, but RSI at 69.9 approached overbought levels, and 20-day average volume was 0.81x, suggesting below-average participation. Decision weighed these technical readings against the news-driven momentum. RSI(14) at 69.9, moving averages not aligned, 20-day average volume at 0.81x, 7-day price change of +3.8% A divergence occurred between the forecast of +1.5% and the actual result of -11.4%, with the price falling despite positive news. The RSI stood at 69.9, indicating an overheated uptrend, but the 20-day average volume was weak at 0.81x, and the price broke below the stop-loss level of $107.53, confirming the loss. The positive news appears to have been partially priced in, or the stock met resistance near its recent high of $112.5 and turned downward. For future trades, first check whether the RSI is in overbought territory after news announcements and whether this is accompanied by volume confirmation. Set the stop-loss price flexibly based on the recent swing low, and cultivate the habit of waiting for volume flow without excessive expectations. no past cases provided for reference — direct similarity grounds not available

Cisco has set a revenue target of $72.2 billion to $73.4 billion for the fiscal year 2027 and has established an AI infrastructure revenue target of $7.5 billion, which is a positive development that clarifies the long-term growth momentum in the artificial intelligence sector. Given the limited upside potential at the current price, if there is a pullback to the support level followed by a rebound, I will aim for a profit target of $124.71. Conversely, if the support level at $107.53 is breached, I will cut my losses. The current price of $123.88 is close to the 20-day high of $124.71, indicating limited upside potential. Therefore, it is important to carefully assess whether to enter based on the potential breakout of the resistance level. The RSI(14) is at 69.9, approaching an overbought condition, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. The trading volume is somewhat low at 0.81 times the 20-day average, but the recent 7-day volatility shows an upward trend of +3.8%. We confirmed a clear growth driver with the revenue target for AI infrastructure in the fiscal year 2027 and considered entry; however, the RSI is at 69.9, nearing overbought territory, and with the moving averages in a non-aligned state, the upside potential is limited. We were unable to sufficiently manage the risks, leading to a stop-loss being reached and a -10.3% FAILED result. Rather than being swayed by the optimism from positive news, we will interpret the technical indicators at the entry point, which indicate an overheated condition and a non-aligned state, more conservatively. We will strictly apply our criteria to refrain from chasing purchases and wait for a safe entry point near the support level.

Cisco (CSCO) received a positive response as its fourth-quarter results and guidance exceeded expectations. If the current price of $123.88 breaks through the 20-day resistance level of $124.71 and continues to rise, I will take profits at $124.71. Conversely, if buying pressure weakens and the price falls below the support level of $107.53, I will cut losses at $107.53. The current price of $123.88 is close to the 20-day resistance level of $124.71, and I will consider entering if it breaks through, as there is potential for further upward movement. RSI(14) 69.9, moving averages are misaligned, trading volume is 0.81 times the 20-day average, and with a recent 7-day volatility of +3.8%, the current RSI is close to overbought territory, and the moving averages are misaligned, indicating that buying pressure is somewhat weak. Despite the positive news of exceeding Q4 earnings and guidance, the entry point at the time, with the current price at $123.88, was close to the 20-day resistance level of $124.71, and the RSI at 69.9 along with misaligned moving averages were signaling a limit to the upward movement. Additionally, the trading volume was only 0.81 times the 20-day average, indicating weak buying pressure, yet there was an inclination towards breakthrough expectations. Ultimately, in an unexpected downward trend, the price plummeted towards the stop-loss level of $107.53, concluding with a final failure of -10.2%. With technical indicators nearing overbought territory and moving averages misaligned, it is prudent to approach the situation conservatively, even in the presence of positive news, without hastily predicting a breakout above resistance levels. In the future, for stocks with trading volumes below average and weak buying pressure, we will implement a strategy to defer entry until a confirmed breakout above resistance levels occurs.