FAILED
2026-08-20 11:35:17
Predicted 2.5% → Actual -10.7%
Honeywell Technologies surged after reporting an earnings surprise driven by its automation business.
Enter when a rebound trend is confirmed while maintaining the support level of 235, and take profits when it reaches the resistance level of 260. If it falls below the support level of 235, I will cut losses.
In a phase of short-term volatility due to positive earnings news, considering the price range near the support level of 235 and the recent candle and moving average misalignment, I will establish a strategy to approach after confirming the support level.
The RSI(14) is at 62.8, indicating a neutral state that is not close to the overbought zone. The moving averages are in a non-aligned state, and the trading volume is somewhat low at 0.76 times the 20-day average. The recent 7-day volatility is +4.8%.
There was positive news regarding earnings surprises and the profitability of the automation business, and based on an RSI of 62.8 and a recent 7-day volatility of +4.8%, a scenario was developed to approach after confirming support levels. However, the actual result recorded a loss of -10.7%, resulting in a FAILED assessment. At the time of entry, the trading volume was somewhat low at 0.76 times the 20-day average, and there was a REPORTING comment indicating that caution should be exercised due to volatility from a short-term surge while the moving averages were in a non-aligned state. Nevertheless, the actual stock price failed to defend the support level of $235.0 and continued to decline, reaching the stop-loss level.
Through this trading activity, it has been confirmed that even with positive performance news and momentum, the current state of misalignment in moving averages and low relative trading volume necessitates a stricter consideration of short-term volatility and downward pressure. In the future, we will apply a more conservative approach to entry until the influx of trading volume and the transition to aligned moving averages confirm trend stability, going beyond mere expectations of a simple rebound near support levels.