FAILED
2026-08-31 22:11:34
Predicted 2.0% → Actual -13.8%
Innodata announced that sales are expected to grow 58% year-on-year in Q2 2026.
If the stock price reaches resistance at $71.98, take profit; if it falls below support at $54.36, cut losses. This condition is based on the resistance and support indicated by REPORTING.
I considered buying as the current price of $65.48 is above the support level of $54.36, limiting downside risk, and the favorable factor of 58% sales growth along with the +16.8% rise over the recent 7-day period suggests potential for further upside.
RSI(14) 62.4 is approaching the overbought zone, and the moving average line is in a non-aligned state. Trading volume is 1.83 times the 20-day average, indicating strong upward momentum. The recent 7-day change rate is +16.8%, showing a distinct upward trend.
The forecast anticipated a 2% upside, but the actual outcome fell to -13.8% without hitting the stop-loss line, resulting in significant losses. Purchased on the basis of positive news and upward momentum, but the RSI was in the overbought zone and the moving average was misaligned, overlooking the risk signal.
In the next trade, I will consider overbought RSI and misaligned moving averages with greater weight, and set the initial stop-loss level closer than the current price. Additionally, rather than making a purchase decision based solely on news catalysts, I will adjust the entry point by comprehensively analyzing price movements and technical signals.
FAILED
2026-08-24 16:46:54
Predicted 3.2% → Actual -11.3%
Reconfirmation of Innodata's projected revenue growth of over 40% and news of Rahul Singhal's appointment as CEO on September 30.
Based on the current price of $65.48, I will look to take profits if it attempts to break through the resistance level of $71.98, or I will cut losses if the downside risk increases and it falls below the support level of $54.36.
The current price of $65.48 is positioned in the middle between the support level ($54.36) and the resistance level ($71.98), indicating a lack of direction. Therefore, we will consider buying cautiously while confirming a clear trend breakout.
RSI(14) 62.4, moving averages are misaligned, trading volume is 1.83 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility is +16.8%.
Despite the positive news of the CEO's appointment and the reaffirmation of revenue growth prospects, along with an increase in trading volume (1.83 times the 20-day average), we anticipated a breakout to the upside. However, the stock closed with a loss of -11.3% as the ambiguous position between support and resistance levels, along with the downside risks implied by the misaligned moving averages, materialized.
When the current price is positioned between support and resistance levels and lacks direction, we will refrain from making hasty entries and will strictly apply a conservative approach by holding off on trading until a clear breakout or support rebound signal is confirmed.