[IONQ]

IonQ has risen due to strong Q2 results and guidance, and Wall Street has assessed that the company is well-positioned to establish itself as a leader. After a 11.2% surge over the past 7 days, there is a short-term overbought concern with an RSI of 60.4. Therefore, it is advisable to monitor whether the resistance level of $46.00 is breached, while responding to pullbacks around the support level of $31.81. Considering the overheating pressure from the short-term surge and the positions of support and resistance levels, it is important to cautiously monitor whether there will be a correction towards the support level around $31.81 or if there will be a breakthrough of the resistance level at $46.00. RSI(14) 60.4, moving averages are misaligned, trading volume is 1.21 times the 20-day average, and with a recent 7-day volatility of +11.2%, there is a coexistence of overheating pressure due to a short-term surge and a misalignment state. Despite predicting a cautious approach amid a rising trend accompanied by a trading volume of 1.21 times, the actual results recorded a return of 11.3%, significantly exceeding the forecast of 3.5%, resulting in an OVERHIT designation. The scenario of a conservative approach, monitoring pullbacks near support levels or breakthroughs at resistance levels due to short-term overheating concerns, was appropriate for risk management. However, it is noted that this approach did not fully reflect the additional upward momentum created by the rising trend of news within the theme and the strong sector momentum indicated by the S-Class conversion rate of 24.7%. In this trading session, while the technical overheating indicators of individual stocks (RSI 60.4, non-divergent) and the defensive stance due to the short-term surge (+11.2%) are important, it is also essential to recognize that when the overall trend of news in the theme increases and the high S-Class conversion rate combines, stronger trend persistence than expected may occur. In future situations where similar positive factors and thematic momentum overlap, I will maintain conservative stop-loss and take-profit criteria, while adjusting to set a flexible response range by also considering the overall trading volume and momentum strength of the sector. Based on the pre-history of 2026-07-17 15:48:18 (+3.3%) and 2026-07-17 12:36:07 (+3.3%), a pattern of gradual response has been observed during past similar events.

Wedbush anticipates that IonQ will benefit from an improved roadmap if the acquisition of SkyWater is approved. This news suggests a positive outlook regarding the potential for strategic mergers and acquisitions that could strengthen the company's technological roadmap. I will take profits if the price reaches the resistance level of $35.0, and I will cut losses if it falls below the support level of $30.0. Currently, I will monitor for confirmation of the support level around $31.99 and observe the inflow of funds across the sector while implementing a strategy of gradual buying. Considering the positive news and recent price movements, this is a point worth considering for entry. Recently, on July 29, it recorded a closing price of $31.99, forming a low point, and on July 30, it rebounded to $35.77, showing volatility. With Wedbush's positive outlook supporting this, a strategy aiming for a rebound after confirming the support level appears to be valid. In a past similar case, on July 31, 2026, the same news (IonQ getting approval for SkyWater acquisition should improve its roadmap: Wedbush) resulted in a return of 11.8%.