[LRCX]

This is positive news as Lam Research recovered some of its recent losses with a 7% increase. Based on the news flow and technical indicators, I will take profit upon reaching the target price of $322.21 and cut losses if the stop-loss price of $265.37 is breached. During the recent 7-day correction of -16.0%, the RSI(14) entered the oversold territory at 28.4, and volume flowed in at 1.44 times the 20-day average. Combined with news of a 7% rebound in Lam Research, entry was considered aiming for a short-term rebound. At the entry point, the technical indicators showed an oversold condition with an RSI(14) of 28.4, moving averages were in a non-bullish alignment, trading volume was 1.44 times the 20-day average, and the 7-day volatility (rate of change) was recorded at -16.0%. Based on the oversold condition with an RSI of 28.4 at the time of entry and an influx of trading volume at 1.44 times the 20-day average, a short-term rebound was anticipated. Surpassing the predicted return of 2.5%, the actual realized return reached 12.4%, resulting in an OVERHIT rating. While the analysis accurately identified the strong rebound momentum driven by 7% upside news following a deep correction of -16.0% over the past 7 days, the magnitude of the market's upward momentum was estimated somewhat conservatively, causing the actual result to significantly exceed the forecast. Through this trade, we confirmed that a stronger trend rebound than expected could occur if trading volume is accompanied by positive developments in the oversold zone (RSI 30 or below). Going forward, in similar periods of excessive price declines, we will refine our trading strategy to capture profit-maximization opportunities by keeping our short-term target price more flexible. In the past history of this stock, there is a record of a sharp rebound of +12.5% on 2026-09-19. Additionally, there is a similar successful case overlapping with the keyword 'Lam Research' (2026-09-30 00:07:44, return of 12.4%), and while cases such as VEEE (+451.7%) on 2026-07-16 and AEMD (+336.4%) on 2026-09-18 lack direct grounds for similarity, they serve as top-performing cases worth referencing.

Lam Research is indicating a positive trend with a strong growth outlook extending to 2027 and an expected revenue of $8.1 billion for the September quarter. We will enter the position aiming for a technical rebound due to the extreme oversold condition with an RSI of 19.4. We will take profits if the price reaches $285.0 and will cut losses if it falls to $240.0. It is assessed as a technical rebound period following a short-term sharp decline. Over the past 7 days, the stock has shown a volatility of -17.7%, resulting in a significant drop in price, and the RSI has fallen to 19.4, indicating an extreme oversold condition, which suggests a very high likelihood of a rebound. The RSI(14) is at 19.4, indicating an extreme oversold condition, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. The trading volume is at 1.34 times the 20-day average. The trade was successfully completed with a return of 18.0%, exceeding the forecasted return of 12.5%. The strategy aimed at capitalizing on a technical rebound during the oversold period proved to be effective. We have confirmed the validity of the rebound scenario based on the RSI oversold indicator and news. However, considering the volatility during the sharp decline, we will focus on increasing the precision of the entry point. In a past similar case, on 2026-07-31 at 03:27:42, the stock LRCX recorded a return of 18.0%.

Lam Research expects its revenue for the September quarter to be $8.1 billion, anticipating that the WFE (wafer fabrication equipment) market will be in the low $150 billion range. If the resistance level of 270 is broken, leading to additional upward momentum, I will sell at a take-profit price of 290.0. If the support level of 240 is breached, I will sell at a stop-loss price of 230.0. We are considering an entry based on the potential to break through resistance levels following the upward revision of earnings guidance. Recently, the price has experienced significant volatility, fluctuating between $250 and $310, and has been on a downward trend; however, there are signs of a movement attempting to escape the oversold territory alongside the news of the guidance revision. The RSI(14) is at 40.0, indicating that it is moving out of the oversold range. It recorded a return of 18.0%, significantly exceeding the forecasted return of 8.5%. The scenario of breaking through the resistance level due to the upward guidance was successful, but the fact that the actual return was higher than predicted suggests that there was room to utilize volatility more aggressively. We have confirmed the explosive potential when fundamental positives, such as an upward revision of guidance, coincide with a technical rebound (RSI breakout). In the next trading session, I will consider a strategy to maximize profits by calculating the momentum more precisely when breaking through resistance levels. Past Similar Success Cases: LRCX, 2026-07-31 03:27:42, Return 18.0%, News: Lam Research projects $8.1B September-quarter revenue with WFE seen in low $150B range.

The news that LRCX's stock price surged due to a positive outlook on the increasing demand for AI chips served as a key catalyst. If the demand for AI chips continues to be favorable and an additional upward trend is confirmed, we would consider taking profits. Conversely, if the positive factors weaken or a sharp decline occurs, we would consider cutting losses. Basis: https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/why-is-lam-research-stock-surging-today-93CH-4776475 If considering an entry at this point, it was important to note that the candle flow showed a strong upward trend from 2026-06-25 to 2026-06-30, but experienced a sharp decline on 2026-07-01 and 2026-07-02, followed by a rebound on 2026-07-06. Notably, the closing price on 2026-07-06 was 350.2, slightly lower than the previous day's closing price of 351.41, but the price rebounded from an opening of 365.34 to a high of 366.08, indicating signs of halting the downward trend, which would have warranted consideration for entry. Additionally, if there was a judgment that the news of increased demand for AI chips could act as a positive catalyst, entering at this point could be seen as reasonable. The actual result significantly exceeded the forecasted return of 4.2%, achieving an OVERHIT rating of 346.8%. The reason for the inaccurate prediction was the much stronger-than-expected demand for AI chips, which had a positive impact, and the additional upward momentum during the rebound following a sharp decline in the candlestick flow. Notably, at the entry point of 2026-07-06, there were signs of a rebound from the downward trend; however, the potential for this rebound to lead to a much larger increase in conjunction with the positive news was underestimated. On the other hand, the inability to set a stop-loss criterion is a regrettable aspect. Although not considering a stop-loss during the sharp decline ultimately resulted in significant profits, the lack of risk management should be reflected in future trades. In the next trading session, we will analyze the strength of positive news and the bullish trend of candlestick patterns more closely. In particular, when there is a rebound after a sharp decline, we plan to set our profit-taking points more flexibly, considering the possibility that additional upward momentum could lead to significant gains in conjunction with positive news. We will also clearly define our stop-loss criteria and determine our entry based on the sustainability of the positive news, verified through objective news and data. For example, we will adjust our entry timing and position size depending on whether the increase in demand for AI chips is a short-term issue or a long-term trend.