[MSTR]

Strategy announced that it expects third-quarter digital asset valuation gains of $20.9 billion and tax benefits of $4.12 billion. Based on the current price of $160.01, if the $171.19 resistance level is broken, I will take profit at $171.19, and if the $123.33 support level collapses, I will stop loss at $123.33. The current price of $160.01 is positioned between the 20-day resistance level of $171.19 and the support level of $123.33. Therefore, entry should be considered while monitoring whether it breaks through the $171.19 resistance and verifying the support strength at $123.33. RSI(14) is at 65.1, approaching the overbought territory, the moving averages are in a non-aligned state, trading volume is 1.16 times the 20-day average, and the 7-day volatility is -1.4%. We expected an upward trend driven by favorable factors such as third-quarter digital asset valuation gains and projected tax benefits, but the actual result was a loss of -12.6%, leading to a FAILED rating. At the time of entry, $160.01 was positioned between the resistance line of $171.19 and the support line of $123.33 with the MA-Align unconfigured. It is regrettable that we failed to accurately pierce the limits of the upside breakout implied by the RSI of 65.1 and the non-aligned moving averages, and failed to adequately cope with accompanying downside news and volatility (-1.4%), such as Bitcoin falling below $80,000 and the temporary suspension of Bitcoin purchases. For future trades, rather than relying solely on positive news, we will adopt a more conservative entry timing when the MA-Align is unaligned and resistance pressure is identified near resistance levels. In particular, we will thoroughly keep the risk of support line breaches in mind beforehand and strictly execute stop-loss management. In the past, it showed price response patterns of +7.1% on 2026-10-14, -0.3% on 2026-10-12, -6.2% on 2026-10-06, +0.1% on 2026-10-05, and +6.4% on 2026-09-29.

This is news that MicroStrategy surged 16% amidst a rally in cryptocurrency-related stocks. If market conditions turn favorable and the price reaches the target price of $144.92, I will take profit; if downside risks expand and the stop-loss price of $108.35 is breached, I will cut losses. These profit-taking and stop-loss prices are REPORTING-calculated values. Considering the favorable catalysts for crypto-related stocks and recent candlestick patterns—where the price hit a low of 134.89 on October 15, rebounded to 151.29, and then underwent a correction on October 16 with an open of 145.95, a high of 146.83, a low of 134.11, and a close of 136.83—the RSI(14) stands at a neutral level of 47.1 and the moving averages are not yet in a bullish alignment. However, entry can be considered keeping in mind the positive news surrounding cryptocurrency-related stocks and their historical volatility patterns. At the time of entry, the RSI (14) stands at 47.1, placing it in a neutral zone rather than in overbought or oversold territory, and the moving averages are in a non-bullish alignment. Trading volume is relatively low at 0.64 times the 20-day average, and the 7-day volatility/rate of change recorded -3.1%. I attempted to enter the trade on favorable news regarding the rise of crypto-related stocks, but the actual result was a -11.1% return, resulting in a FAILED rating. At the time of entry, the RSI(14) was at a neutral level of 47.1, trading volume was somewhat insufficient at 0.64 times the 20-day average volume, and the moving averages were not in a bullish alignment. As implied by the previously noted 7-day volatility (-3.1%) and the downward price trend on October 16 (including a drop of around -10% and related news), it is judged that despite the positive news, the stock failed to completely overcome the existing bearish trend and the technical burden of the unaligned moving averages, ultimately hitting the stop-loss price. Through this trade, I learned that rather than simply relying on themed positive news or short-term upward reports, I must more strictly factor in warning signals given by technical indicators, such as the non-bullish alignment of moving averages and low trading volume. In future trades, even if themed news is on an upward trend, I will approach with a conservative standard to prepare for downside risks by thoroughly verifying whether moving averages are in a bullish alignment and whether trading volume accompanies the move. Looking at the prior history of this stock, it showed price reactions of -6.2% on 2026-10-06, +0.1% on 2026-10-05, +6.4% on 2026-09-29, +4.7% on 2026-09-28, and +3.7% on 2026-09-25. Approach this stock by keeping in mind its individual characteristic of exhibiting large price fluctuations during past similar events or positive news occurrences.

The stock price reportedly rose by 9% following the announcement of its Bitcoin purchase. I will take profits upon reaching the take-profit target of $154.02, and cut losses if the support level of $115.80 is breached. Since the current price of $168.50 has broken upward above the 20-day resistance level ($154.02), I will focus on risk management by taking into account the gap from the support level ($115.80). I will consider entering upon confirming that the current price has broken above the 20-day resistance line ($154.02). I will approach this from a buying perspective, driven by the announcement of Bitcoin purchases, a recent 7-day volatility of +16.0%, and trading volume increasing to 1.99 times the 20-day average. RSI (14) stands at 63.3, indicating a bullish phase just below the overbought zone, and the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. Trading volume flowed in at 1.99 times the 20-day average, and the volatility over the past 7 days recorded +16.0%. Following the announcement of its Bitcoin purchase, trading volume surged to 1.99 times the 20-day average, and the 7-day volatility recorded +16.0%. We entered the position based on an upward breakout above the 20-day resistance line ($154.02), but the actual result was a -10.1% return, judged as FAILED. Although we expected upward momentum amid a bullish RSI (14) of 63.3 and an increasing trend in thematic news, it is regrettable that we failed to handle the risk gap from the support line ($115.80) more conservatively. Considering the characteristics of the moving averages in a non-aligned state and the high volatility of the stock, we will revise our trading strategy going forward to secure a wider margin of safety from support levels rather than chasing rallies immediately after breaking resistance, and to apply strict risk management criteria. Looking at past similar history, it showed positive responses with a +6.4% gain on 2026-09-29, +4.7% on 2026-09-28, and +3.7% on 2026-09-25, whereas it showed a decline of -3.1% on 2026-09-22, thus demonstrating clear bidirectional fluctuation patterns whenever favorable news or volatility occurs.

Canaccord Genuity raised its price target on Strategy to $175 and highlighted that its balance sheet remains robust with cash and cash equivalents. Based on the current price, if it breaks through the resistance level of $127.90 to confirm further upward momentum, I will consider taking profits around the $127.90 level, and if the support level of $89.21 breaks, I will cut losses. The current price is approaching the resistance level of $127.90, and with the RSI at 72.0 entering the overbought zone, it is a time to monitor whether it will achieve a short-term breakout and defend the support level. At the time of entry, the RSI(14) stands at 72.0, indicating an overbought condition. The moving averages are not in a bullish alignment, trading volume is 1.97 times the 20-day average, and the volatility over the past 7 days is +26.3%. At the time of prediction, it was judged that short-term breakout potential near the resistance line ($127.90) and defense of the support line ($89.21) needed to be checked conservatively due to the overbought zone with an RSI of 72.0 and non-aligned moving averages. However, the actual result significantly exceeded the predicted return of 3.5%, recording a 32.3% return and receiving an OVERHIT rating. This was because crypto-related stocks experienced strong upward pressure due to the announcement of additional Bitcoin purchases and the rise in Bitcoin prices right before and on the day of entry, and we failed to fully reflect in advance the trend where strong thematic momentum drove stock prices despite the overbought signals of technical indicators. This trade confirmed that even when technical indicators point to overbought conditions (RSI 72.0) and moving averages are not in a bullish alignment, the confluence of successive strong cryptocurrency-related positive catalysts and a rising trend in trading volume within the theme can drive a significant upside breakout. Moving forward, rather than taking a solely conservative approach based merely on short-term overbought indicators, I will adjust my strategy to set take-profit targets more flexibly by considering news trends across the entire theme alongside real-time asset (such as Bitcoin) price correlations. In the stock's prior history, price reaction patterns such as +28.7% on 2026-09-11, +4.0% on 2026-09-09, +8.9% on 2026-08-31, and +8.3% on 2026-08-25 are identified.

Strategy가 비트코인 손실을 수십억 달러에서 47억 달러 이익으로 전환했다는 내용이며, 이는 비트코인 가격 상승과 맞물려 전략주의 주가 상승을 기대하게 만든 호재이다. If the stock price reaches the resistance level of $127.90, take profits by selling at the target price of $127.90, and if the stock price falls to the support level of $89.21, sell at the stop-loss price of $89.21. This condition is based on the resistance and support levels presented by REPORTING. The current price of $122.63 is located below the resistance line of $127.90 (the high on the 20th), and with the RSI at 72.0 indicating an overbought condition, it was judged that room for further upside is limited. Therefore, we bought near the resistance line and kept in mind the downside risk toward the support line of $89.21 in the event of a future correction. RSI (14) at 72.0 indicates an overbought zone, and the non-bullish alignment of moving averages suggests that the trend is unclear. Trading volume is 1.97 times the 20-day average, showing strong upward momentum, and the recent 7-day volatility of +26.3% reflects a rapid upward trend. The actual return significantly outperformed the predicted return of 2.5% at 11.7%, resulting in a final judgment of OVERHIT. While the entry decision based on buying near the resistance line and the overbought RSI was correct, the target price was set too conservatively, leading to a significantly underestimated expected return. In the next trade, maintain initial entries on positive catalysts while setting a more aggressive target price to reflect overbought signals and rapid upward momentum, and protect profits by introducing a trailing stop in the event of increased volatility. Following the announcement of a similar positive catalyst in late August 2026, the stock price rose by +12.0% on August 24, +8.3% on August 25 (twice), and +8.9% on August 31. This past pattern is similar to the current situation in that it showed significant short-term gains upon the announcement of positive news.