[PINS]

S-Class
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FAILED 2026-08-20 14:52:26
Predicted -1.5% → Actual -10.2%
Pinterest has provided a third-quarter revenue outlook of $1.19 billion to $1.21 billion and has raised its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast for 2026 to approximately 30%. If the target price of $24.63 is reached, I will take profits, and if it falls below the stop-loss price of $21.55, I will cut losses. These take profit/stop-loss prices are derived from the REPORTING calculations. We considered entering based on the clear fundamental improvement news of upward earnings forecasts and the recent 7-day volatility of +10.4%, indicating increased upward momentum. On August 20, 2026, the stock opened at 23.26, reached a high of 23.5, a low of 22.8, and closed at 22.81, with a trading volume that was 1.27 times the 20-day average. At the entry point, the technical indicators are as follows: RSI(14) at 62.4, moving averages are not aligned, trading volume is 1.27 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility is +10.4%. An RSI of 62.4 indicates that the upward momentum is still present before entering the overbought zone. Despite the clear fundamental improvement news of an upward revision in third-quarter revenue outlook and an increase in EBITDA margin targets, the actual results led to a drop beyond the predicted -1.5% to a -10.2% stop-loss breach. At the time of entry, the RSI was 62.4, and there was a recent 7-day increase of +10.4% in volatility, along with a trading volume 1.27 times the 20-day average, which led to the judgment that upward momentum would continue. However, the moving averages were in a non-aligned state, and the price action of the day saw a decline from a high of 23.5 to a low of 22.8, failing to fully defend against the prevailing selling pressure. Even with positive news and an increase in trading volume, we have confirmed that chasing purchases in a non-aligned moving average state may be vulnerable to downside volatility. In future trading, we will more conservatively verify the alignment of technical indicators and the pullback period following a short-term surge, and we will thoroughly maintain our response according to principles in the event of a stop-loss breach. Past similar success cases include VEEE on 2026-07-16 (return 451.7%), LRCX on 2026-07-06 (return 346.8%), and AMD (return 333.8%), but all are reference cases for top performance globally without direct similarities.
FAILED 2026-08-12 19:34:14
Predicted -2.5% → Actual -10.3%
Pinterest (PINS) reported second-quarter 2026 results that exceeded market expectations, but the stock reversed and fell in after-hours trading. Despite the positive earnings news, there is a decline in after-hours trading. Therefore, if the conditions are met to break through and settle above the previous resistance level of $24.63, I will take profits at $24.63. Conversely, if the stock price falls and breaches the key support level of $21.55, I will immediately cut losses. We aim to capitalize on short-term upward momentum based on positive earnings, but since the current stock price is above the previous resistance level of $24.63, we will consider a cautious entry as confirmation of upper resistance is needed due to after-hours declines. The technical indicators at the entry point show a gradual upward momentum with an RSI(14) of 62.4, indicating a pre-overbought phase, while the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. The trading volume is 1.27 times the 20-day average, indicating more activity than usual, and the volatility over the past 7 days has recorded +10.4%. After the earnings announcement, we anticipated a temporary reversal in the stock price, considering the possibility of a decline. However, the actual result exceeded our predicted loss of -2.5%, recording a FAILED rating of -10.3%. At the time of entry, technical warning signs were present, including an RSI(14) of 62.4 and a misalignment of moving averages, and we recognized the need to confirm upper resistance due to the after-hours decline. Despite this, we were unable to defend against the steep additional drop ranging from -2.5% to -10.3%, which is regrettable. We focused solely on positive news and underestimated the risk signal of the after-hours decline reversal. Through this failure, we have learned that the intensity of the material related to earnings surprises must be strictly reflected in the price volatility during after-hours trading and the failure to break through resistance levels. In future trading, when entering on positive earnings news in a phase where a structural upward trend is not established, such as in a non-aligned moving average state, we will set stop-loss levels more tightly and apply execution guidelines to quickly manage risk in the event of an after-hours downturn. Similar successful past cases that overlap with the earnings beat keyword, like the recent PINS trade, include Bloomin’ Brands (BLMN, +36.3%), Digital Turbine (APPS, +36.2%), and Embecta (EMBC, +33.3%), all of which demonstrated strong upward momentum immediately following their earnings announcements, indicating a direct similarity.