[QCOM]

S-Class
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OVERHIT 2026-09-22 21:47:02
Predicted 1.5% → Actual 10.1%
StoneX has reaffirmed its Buy rating on Qualcomm (QCOM), citing data center growth. I will take profit if the stock price reaches the 20-day resistance high of $185.46, and cut losses if the support level of $155.38 breaks. Since the current stock price of $180.15 is near the resistance level, I will trade keeping in mind the possibility of a correction down to the support level. With the current stock price of $180.15 near the 20-day high resistance level of $185.46, we will carefully consider entering a position while accounting for the possibility of a correction to the support level of $155.38. At the entry point, the technical indicators show RSI(14) at 81.3 (overbought territory), a non-bullish moving-average alignment, volume at 1.26 times the 20-day average, and a recent 7-day rate of change of +6.6%. At the time of the prediction, the stock was positioned near the 20-day high resistance line of $185.46 (current price $180.15), prompting us to keep in mind the possibility of a correction down to the support line ($155.38). However, the actual result significantly exceeded the predicted return of 1.5%, recording a 10.1% surge and receiving an "OVERHIT" rating. This review reminds us that despite technical pressures—such as an RSI (14) of 81.3 in the overbought zone and a non-aligned moving average structure—StoneX's reaffirmation of its "Buy" rating and strong related news momentum acted powerfully, allowing the stock to break through the resistance line and continue its upward trajectory. Through this trade, we confirmed that even in the overbought zone near the resistance line (RSI 81.3), accompanied by strong thematic news catalysts, a larger-than-expected additional upside can occur. Moving forward, in similar high-price resistance zones, rather than relying solely on overheating signals from technical indicators, we will implement a strategy of flexibly adjusting profit-taking criteria by jointly considering momentum strength, such as the trend in the number of thematic news items and the S-Class conversion rate. Among past comparable success cases, the 2026-09-22 21:47:02 case (+10.1%), which shares the keyword “Qualcomm,” may serve as a reference because it involved a positive-news reaction from the same stock. The other cases, VEEE (+451.7%) and LRCX (+346.8%), lack a basis for direct comparability but are provided for reference against globally top-performing cases. In terms of the stock’s prior history, price reaction patterns of +8.0% were observed on 2026-09-09.
SUCCESS 2026-03-20 06:53:52
Predicted 60.0% → Actual 54.1%
There were no significant positive catalysts in QCOM's candlestick movement; however, the closing prices from March 17 to March 20 fluctuated, showing a range of 131.11 → 129.99 → 130.8 → 129.42, indicating a sideways trend. If entering at this point, one would have considered a stop-loss if it failed to break through 132.26 (the high on March 20) and declined. Conversely, if it broke through 132.26 and continued to rise, one would have aimed for an increase to 134.37 (the high on March 12). The stop-loss would have been set below 128.43 (the low on March 20), while the take-profit would have been set upon breaking through 134.37 (the high on March 12). The basis for this is the REPORTING output value. From March 17 to March 20, the candlestick movement indicated that the closing price was fluctuating around the 130 level, seemingly forming a support line. In particular, the closing price on March 19 showed a reversal, rising to 130.8, which likely prompted consideration for entry at this point with expectations of a bullish reversal. However, given the lack of clear positive catalysts, a cautious approach was necessary. The actual result of 54.1% was somewhat below the forecasted return of 60.0%, but it was deemed a success in reaching the target. The candlestick pattern indicates that it started from a closing price of 129.42 on March 20 and rose to 134.37, which appears to be a result of breaking through the high of 134.37 on March 12. However, while it was correct to anticipate a rebound in the absence of significant positive news, the extent of the increase was somewhat weaker than expected, which is disappointing. In the next trading sessions, it is essential to closely monitor the formation of support and resistance levels in the candlestick flow, even in the absence of positive news. In particular, we will place emphasis on whether the closing price breaks through specific levels and will strengthen our training to capture reversal signals during sideways trading periods. Additionally, as seen in past cases (VEEE, LRCX, AMD), we plan to enhance our responsiveness to stocks exhibiting similar movements by learning the patterns of stocks that experience rapid increases in advance.