[RUN]

Sunrun aims to finish 2026 with a growth rate of over 10% and to achieve over 10 GWh by the end of 2028. In conclusion, I aim to take profits targeting a resistance level of $13.35, but I will respond with a stop-loss if the support level of $9.31 is breached. In conclusion, the current price is positioned at the midpoint between the support and resistance levels, and due to a lack of technical alignment, I will consider a cautious entry. The technical indicators at the entry point show that the RSI (14) is at 32.4, approaching an oversold condition, the moving averages are in a non-aligned state, the trading volume is at 1.21 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility has recorded +11.0%. To conclude, contrary to the expectations at the time of the forecast, the actual outcome ended with a disappointing -12.9%, breaching the stop-loss level. At the time of entry, a growth target of over 10% and specific targets up to 2028 were presented. Although a rebound was anticipated based on the oversold condition of RSI(14) at 32.4 and an increase in trading volume (+11.0% volatility), the weakness stemming from the misalignment of moving averages and the lack of technical alignment near the support level ($9.31) ultimately contributed to the inability to withstand downward pressure. In conclusion, in future trading, if technical indicators are not properly aligned in a non-decorrelated state, I will adopt a conservative approach of delaying entry points or reducing positions, regardless of any accompanying positive growth news. Past similar success cases with the keyword 'growth' include IBTA (2026-08-04, return 49.0%, news of exceeding EPS and revenue), BLZE (2026-08-04, return 47.9%, news of B2 revenue growth outlook and upward guidance), and TEAM (from 2026-08-04 to 2026-08-14, return 47.2%, news of subscription ARR growth outlook). All show similarities based on performance and upward guidance momentum centered around the growth keyword.

Sunrun's GAAP EPS and revenue significantly exceeded market expectations, demonstrating strong performance. If it holds above the support level of $9.31, the target for taking profits will be the resistance level of $13.35. However, if the price falls below the support level of $9.31, I will cut losses. With a strong performance characterized by an earnings surprise, the current price of $10.49 is positioned above the support level of $9.31, indicating a potential upside of approximately 27% to the resistance level of $13.35, thus we will consider buying. The RSI(14) is at 32.4, approaching an oversold condition, while the moving averages are in a non-aligned state. The trading volume is 1.21 times the 20-day average, and the recent 7-day volatility has recorded +11.0%. In the earnings announcement, both GAAP EPS and revenue significantly exceeded market expectations, resulting in an earnings surprise. The current price of $10.49 is positioned above the support level of $9.31, indicating a potential upside of approximately 27% to the resistance level of $13.35, which led to a buy prediction. Additionally, with an RSI(14) of 32.4, it is close to the oversold range, and the trading volume has increased to 1.21 times the 20-day average, showing a +11.0% volatility over the past 7 days, which is also seen as a positive factor. However, the actual result recorded a loss of -11.7%, resulting in a FAILED rating. As indicated by the disordered moving averages, the overall trend shows prevailing downward pressure, and relying solely on short-term performance catalysts and oversold indicators while overestimating the defense near the support level led to this mistake. Through this trading experience, I learned that even with a one-time earnings surprise and strong oversold indicators (RSI 32.4), it is difficult to overcome the weight of a downward trend when the moving averages are misaligned. In future trading, I will approach the market more conservatively by not relying solely on the fact that the price is above support levels or on oversold figures, but by combining the overall arrangement of moving averages and the declining trend of thematic news (energy thematic news falling) to manage stop-loss criteria more strictly.