V12 SENTINEL ENGINE · AI MARKET ANALYSIS
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ASTHAI Stock Diagnostic Report

Astrana targets $72.5M-$77.5M Q3 adjusted EBITDA while raising 2026 adjusted EBITDA to $255M-$280M

Astrana Health has raised its adjusted EBITDA forecast for 2026, presenting a positive performance outlook.

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AI CATALYST SCORE85 / 100Score computed by Sentinel V12
REFERENCE PRICE$34.13Reference entry price at analysis time
01
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Key Indicators at a Glance

RSI (14)12.77Oversold zone
Moving Average AlignmentBullish Trend (Aligned)Trend needs confirmation
Volume vs 20-Day Average0.94×Normal
7-Day Change-6.2%Short-term decline
Major Support34.57
Near-Term Resistance49.98
02
FUNDAMENTALS

Financial & Fundamental Analysis

The upward revision of the 2026 adjusted EBITDA target raises expectations for annual revenue structure improvement, and the Q3 guidance is expected to exceed market expectations, which could contribute to improved financial soundness.
03
TECHNICAL VIEW

Technical Position & Response Criteria

The current price of $34.13 is near a support level, and the RSI of 12.8 indicates an extreme oversold condition, suggesting a potential short-term technical rebound, although the reliability is low.
Support34.57
Resistance49.98
04
CATALYST & STRATEGY

Catalyst Analysis & Forward Strategy

The upward revision of its financial targets (Q3 adjusted EBITDA $72.5M-$77.5M, 2026 $255M-$280M) is interpreted as a signal of sustainable growth based on the company's internal plans.
05
PROOF OF WORK

Analysis Point vs. Subsequent Price Action

INITIAL · At Analysis (2026-08-07)
FINAL · Current/Verified

Renders the actual stored OHLC data directly in your browser.

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ANALYSIS HISTORY

ASTH Analysis History (Last 30 Days)

Diagnosed AtTickerAI ScoreTier
2026-10-12 04:45:25ASTH55MidView Report →
2026-09-17 14:32:52ASTH45MidView Report →
2026-08-07 04:39:42ASTH85S-ClassView Report →
View Full History for ASTH (Blueprint) →